AD running a bearish cypher pattern on the 4hr. Also money flow/AD peaking with price action. Price action also hit my 1.618 fib level which is bearish. Money Flow and AD needs to breakout above b leg, however the down trend looks In tact. Short term bearish outlook.
This chart uses symmetric trajectories from the early distribution phases to estimate the path price will take to initiate markdown. Initial target = 506-508. If SPY finds resistance at 516 then the initial target could hit by the end of this week (5/10). If SPY breaks above 516 it should find resistance at 518-520, and then the initial target will be delayed -...
Hey everyone, Going into next week, it seems like we my start with selling first. Going into Monday probability is particularly bearish. Based on the assessment of the week it actually seems like we can expect dramatic moves in both directions, so if we head down first, I would expect the CPI catalyst to move us back up. Vice versa if we start bullish. Though,...
AMEX:SPY May 14, 2024 15 Minutes. As expected, the oscillator divergence is playing out. Sideways until sorted. Yesterday we had a gap up open and could not sustain and the first bat had close near low of bar. We have 9,21,50 and 100 moving averages around 520 levels. 200 is about 517. For the day if SPY opens gap up above 522.7 I do not expect it to...
I am going slowly short. SPY should make another leg down this week. Level of interest is 475-470 Lets see what Wednesday will bring, until then we should stay flat. From the lows of 470, we shall do the usual election run. target 548? Ill be updating this idea.
The correction??? In my opinion and chart theory suggest its time to go long and find the proper to stocks to be in Subscribe for update stock pick and the best sectors to be in so your not left behind!! as for todays daily chart set up I suggest calls at least a week out as chart indicates Goodluck traders like and subscribe as for members that listened and got...
AMEX:SPY May 15, 2024 15 Minutes The SPY is not retracing. It is resolving divergences and aligning moving averages through sideways movement. Now as expected once 522.75 was crossed we are back in business. I will consider two numbers. The rise from 515.15 to 532.582 and 520.56 to 523.82. Maintaining a hold at 518.5 is crucial for the former, while for the...
The price of uranium, known as yellow cake, has more than doubled in the past year amid a significant imbalance between supply and demand in the global market, sending uranium-related assets soaring to the sky. In addition, the return of Japanese appetite for carbon-free energy and the restart of two nuclear reactors last year, along with plans to restore more...
This is a follow up to my previous post about NASDAQ:TLT and AMEX:TMF showing also backing my thesis from a more technical level. I really think this is one of the best risk rewards on the market at this time and also acts as a hedge against stocks if we get bad market news
Right now rates have probably peaked or are close to peaking I strongly believe vehicles like NASDAQ:TLT or AMEX:TMF provide some of the best risk reward for a long swing trade for the next few months. TLT is especially attractive due to its Yield being over 4% at this time. If any fear of recession comes into play over the next year these trades will fly....
AMEX:SPY getting spicy here, looks like a triple top for now headed into a lot of world news, ie Iran/Israel/Biden ... I think we've been overdue for a correction, this is a VERY solid base to start a downtrend and fill some gaps before heading back up for Trump Presidency... Buy the rumor stuff... No positions, will look for continuation tomorrow... - Prof
see chart of UVXY, which tracks VIX. we're at an important FIB level and long-term trendline. I'm long as of now.
Currently, the candlestick is in a consolidation phase. However, based on the trend analysis and observing the support and resistance lines, there is an opportunity for an upward movement. In the resistance direction, the price is likely to rise to 524.61. And if the direction reverses to a downward trend, the profit-taking point for the downward leg is at 466.43.
A wave E low is now in place I am LONG OIL in the money calls
... for a 30.31 debit. Comments: Decent 30-day IV at 34.0%, but I'm primarily looking to position myself to grab the June dividend. IV is skewed to the put side in this underlying, so the general go-to would be short put, but to grab the dividend, you have to be in stock. Because I want the extrinsic in the short call to exceed any dividend, I'm basically...
... for a 2.23 credit. Comments: A small engagement trade in the semiconductor ETF (31.5% 30-Day IV). Going somewhat wide here with the deltas, with the short option legs camped out at 16 delta on both sides. I generally like to collect one-third the width of the wings in credit for these, but am going a little more long-dated than usual, so want to give it...
... for a 39.64 debit. Comments: After taking off my 44 monied for a small profit, re-upping with a setup in the same expiry, but with a better break even. Selling the -75 call against a one lot of stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with built-in short call defense. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 39.64 Max Profit:...
Were back at the top in this distribution phase if you miss this top there will be one more, but were only gunna maybe see one more pump before a big bear market.